My Photo
Blog powered by Typepad

« Kuratowski's Theorem - The Game! | Main | Self-Pimpage »

March 12, 2006

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Ray has been writing on this same topic since 1999. It doesn't sound like he's changed his views that much. I read The Age of Spiritual Machines about 5-6 years ago. Maybe I'll pick up his new one to see how much his vision has drifted since then.

Futurists are a weird lot.

A fun book to follow this would be Accelerando by Charles Stross. Its basicaly a non-fiction treatment of Rays ideas....or the other way around depending on your perspective :)

Also a must read is Vernor Vinges original essay on the Singularity, he has a broader approach to the topic, and includes some verbal error bars indicating possible things that could block the development of the singluarity.

All in all I have found nothing that even strikes me as a decent counter argument to Ray. The best people have so far is that not all exponential trends go on forever. Which is true as far as it goes but I have seen no one follow that up with a detailed argument as to why we should expect moores and similar laws to stop.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment